It didn’t come as a shock to me that the USA remains the largest market for cyber security given the events about Prism and related disclosures about what the NSA is apparently looking at. Strategic Defence Intelligence took a look at this and will be publishing a report today titled The Global Cyber Security Market 2013-2023. Here’s the highlights:
In 2014 the US is going to increase the budget on cyber defence by 21% or US$800 million. This comes despite an overall cut in the American defence budget. In recent years the US has been a major target for cyber espionage and cyber attacks operations sponsored by nations such as China,Iran, Russia and North Korea. A number of cyber attacks have targeted highly intelligent military networks and corporate institutions. In 2010 the US government suffered from the thousands of confidential US diplomatic cables that were leaked and published online by WikiLeaks. The recent digital infiltration of the RQ170 Sentinel drone by Iran as well as the ongoing rivalry against Russia and China have only underpinned the strong demand for cyber security services in the country.
Growth in the Global Market for Cyber Security
A steady flow of investments by the US government in the cyber security domain is expected to result in even more advanced technological innovations and cyber warfare capabilities. This in turn is anticipated to influence the cyber security strategies of most major defence spending countries, by prompting them to acquire similar technological capabilities. According to the Strategic Defence Intelligence report, the global market for cyber security is expected to value US$11.1 billion by the end of 2013. By 2023 this number is expected to reach US$19.4 billion.
Government Initiative to Protect Civilian Institutions
Today most cyber security initiatives are designed to offer protection and deterrence, not only for military and government institutions, but also in the civilian and corporate world. The US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has been a major proponent of bringing the civilian cyber security domain under governmental protection and has proposed a US$6 billion bill in its 2014 budget to provide civilian institutions with the technology and expertise needed for real-time cyber threat detection under an initiative named ‘Continuous Monitoring as a Service’ or CMaaS.
Cyber Weapons – The Move from Defence to Offence
The US is the first country to have militarily classified a number of cyber tools as cyber weapons, and has a state sponsored program aimed at developing these. As such, most countries with advanced cyber warfare capabilities, such as Israel, China, Russia and France are likely to move from a defensive to a more offensive position. The US is developing a number of cyber weapons including a master computer that can carry out cyber warfare activities without the intervention of a human programmer. In 2014, the US Air Force expects to spend US$19.7 million on offensive cyber operations, including research and development, operations and training. Similarly, the army proposes to spend US$5 million for improving its computer network exploitation and computer network attack capabilities. This recent focus on developing offensive capabilities has influenced other major defence spending countries too, with the UK developing a cyber weapons program in line with the US cyber security strategy. The Japanese Defence Ministry will also allocate substantial funds aimed at developing a cyber weapon. Countries such as Russia, China and North Korea are already believed to be in possession of cyber weapons and are likely to already have deployed and tested these weapons.
Definitions
Cyber security – Cyber security refers to the group of technologies, processes and practices designed to protect networks, computers, programs and data from unauthorized access, theft or damage.
Cyber weapons – Cyber weapons refer to devices or any set of computer instructions which are intended to unlawfully damage a system acting as a critical infrastructure, its information, the data or programs contained within the system.
Cyber warfare capabilities – Cyber warfare capabilities refers to the ability of an entity to defend itself from cyber weapons and launch attacks against other systems by deploying cyber weapons.
Civilian cyber security domain – The civilian cyber security domain consists of private businesses and government contractors who store a lot of proprietary and classified information on their networks and are hence vulnerable to cyber threats.
Continuous Monitoring as a Service/CMaaS – CmaaS is a program initiated by the US Department of Homeland Security (DHS) which aims to install an array of sensors that collects data about cyber security risks and presents that information in an automated and continually updated dashboard. This display will allow technical workers and managers to improve the DHS’ view of security, to counter recurring threats more effectively and to support a data-driven approach to agency risk management.
“Extreme Vetting” Proposal Would Require Some Visitors To US To Share Contacts & Social Media Passwords
Posted in Commentary with tags Travel, USA on April 5, 2017 by itnerdThis proposal has popped up in the past, and it has been suggested long before Donald Trump became President of the USA, but it now looks like that it may actually happen. The Guardian is quoting a Wall Street Journal story that visitors from 38 countries that participate in the US Visa Waiver Program would be required to hand over mobile phone contacts, social media passwords and financial data as part of the “Extreme Vetting” proposals that are being floated by the Trump Administration. The idea is that this will be used to figure out if a visitor is up to no good.
Here’s why this is not going to work in my opinion. Nobody who is up to no good is going to serve up that information. Nor are they going to make it easy enough to find. Think fake social media handles, burner phones and the like. Not to mention that they’ll leave electronic devices at home. Thus leaving border guards with nothing to search. Plus how does a border agent quickly figure out if you’re a threat when US airports have lineups of people coming into their country if they now have troll your Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram accounts? True, there are some details missing here, but It seems incredibly cumbersome, fraught with judicial over-reach, and more to the point, I am not sure what will actually get accomplished by this. As in, will a single “bad dude” get caught by this policy?
One other point. Tourism is a huge economic driver for the US. According to my favorite search engine, it accounted for $1.6 trillion in economic output in 2015. Proposals like this will likely have the effect of driving those dollars away from the US. I’m not sure that is what the folks behind this plan had in mind when they came up with it. But it’s not going to help them get tourists. Previous tweaks to US border rules have resulted in Canadians deciding to avoid travel to the US because of stories of Canadian citizens being denied entry to the US and questioned about their faith. That’s led to school boards and even the Girl Guides of Canada banning trips to the US for fear that all those on such a trip will not be treated equally. This latest move is likely to add to this and the number of people who plan to avoid the USA is about to skyrocket as this idea seems way over the top.
What are your thoughts? Is America doing the right thing or not? Are you going to avoid travel to the US because of this? Please leave a comment below and share your thoughts?
Leave a comment »