Liquibase Warns AI Agents Are Exposing a Critical Gap in Database Accountability

Posted in Commentary with tags on October 21, 2026 by itnerd

Liquibase is calling attention to a growing accountability challenge as AI agents take on a greater role in changing production systems. Findings from the company’s 2026 State of Database Change Governance Report, published in March, show that 96.5% of respondents report at least one AI or LLM interaction with their production databases, while only 32% always or often create audit-ready database change history.  The warning follows new government action on autonomous AI.

On October 12, 2026, the UK government announced it is developing a specialist capability to respond to serious incidents involving AI agents, working with the National Cyber Security Centre, Department for Culture, Media and Sport, and the AI Security Institute. The government said that when such incidents occur, it must be able to quickly establish what went wrong and contain the risks. In the United States, a concept paper from NIST’s National Cybersecurity Center of Excellence focuses on identity, authorization, and auditing for AI agents, noting that agents are often treated as generic service accounts without dedicated accountability controls.

For enterprises, the same implications extend to production databases. Whether investigating an incident or proving control to an auditor, organizations need a reliable record of what changed, who or what initiated it (human or an AI agent), whether it was authorized, and what controls ran. When AI agents generate and deploy database changes, sometimes through shared service accounts, that record is often the hardest evidence to produce.

The Database Audit Readiness Gap

The 2026 State of Database Change Governance Report, based on a survey of 426 database, platform, technology practitioners and senior technology leaders, reveals a gap between how frequently organizations face audits and how consistently they maintain the evidence needed to demonstrate control:

  • Audits are constant. 95.3% of respondents face multiple compliance or database audits annually, including 21.6% who face seven or more.
  • Evidence is inconsistent. Only 32% always or often create audit-ready database change history. Another 39% do so sometimes, while 21% rarely or never do.
  • Controls depend on people. Only 35% always or often automate security or compliance checks on database changes.
  • Drift detection is inconsistent. Only 31% always or often automate drift detection, while 48% do so only sometimes.
  • AI adds new risk. 46.5% cite ungoverned AI-generated SQL as a top AI-related database change risk.

Most organizations have governance processes, but the controls and evidence supporting those processes aren’t always applied consistently. As AI increases the speed and volume of database change, that gap becomes increasingly difficult to manage.

When AI Makes the Change, Who’s Accountable?

The accountability questions haven’t changed: What changed? Who authorized it? Were the right controls enforced? What has changed is how hard they are to answer once AI agents generate SQL  and initiate change through automated workflows. In the same survey, 33.6% of respondents report AI-generated  SQL interacting with their production databases, and 21.8% report human review if governance controls aren’t embedded upstream.

Organizations can’t rely on someone remembering to review a change, or on reconstructing its history after deployment. Governance has to be enforced inside the delivery process, with the evidence captured as each change happens.

Liquibase Secure 6.0 Brings Continuous Governance to Database Change

As AI accelerates software delivery, organizations need consistent policies, visibility into change activity, and a reliable record of how controls were applied, regardless of whether changes originate with developers or AI agents.

Introduced September 30, Liquibase Secure 6.0 brings these capabilities together in a unified platform to see, govern, and control database change across teams, pipelines, databases, and agents:

  • Change Intelligence centralizes database change activity, deployment history, and policy outcomes, making it easier to understand what changed and demonstrate which controls were applied. Changes originating from developers or AI agents can be governed and tracked when deployed through supported Liquibase workflows.
  • Centralized policy management lets teams define rules once and apply them everywhere, starting from 50+ prebuilt policy rules.
  • Role-based access control and governed exceptions determine who can manage policies, assignments, exceptions, and governed assets, preserving separation of duties without slowing developers down.

The release builds on Agent Safe Governance, which helps enterprises validate, track, and govern database change whether it’s created by people or AI.

It’s Audit Season. Be Audit-Ready. Always.

Audits shouldn’t test your memory. Organizations need to know what changed, demonstrate that the right controls were followed, and produce evidence without reconstructing activity across tickets, logs, and spreadsheets.

To help organizations address these challenges, Liquibase has launched It’s Audit Season, an initiative focused on closing the gap between database change governance and audit readiness.

The campaign draws on findings from the 2026 State of Database Change Governance Report to highlight the risks of inconsistent controls, fragmented evidence, and the growing role of AI in software delivery. It includes a free Audit Readiness Assessment, an audit checklist, and practical guidance informed by the 2026 report.

Audit season comes around. Audit readiness never leaves.

Learn more: www.liquibase.com/auditseason

CISA, FBI warn SafePay ransomware has hit at least 600 critical infrastructure organizations

Posted in Commentary with tags on October 21, 2026 by itnerd

The SafePay ransomware group has compromised at least 600 organizations across multiple critical infrastructure sectors since August 2024, according to a new joint advisory from CISA, the FBI and international law enforcement agencies. Victims span North America, South America, Europe and Australia.

The advisory identifies SafePay as one of the most active ransomware groups in 2026.

Attackers gain access through stolen credentials, brute-force attacks, compromised VPN accounts and vulnerabilities in internet-facing devices, including firewalls.

Once inside networks, SafePay operators steal sensitive data, disable security protections and encrypt systems. Researchers also observed attackers deleting backup copies and resetting network-attached storage devices to disrupt recovery. The group threatens to publish stolen information if victims refuse to pay.

Jacob Krell, Senior Director: Secure AI Solutions & Cybersecurity, Suzu Labs:

“SafePay hit at least 600 organizations without a single zero-day. The joint advisory from the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (CISA) and the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) lists five vulnerabilities used for initial access, the newest published in September 2024, the oldest patched more than six years ago. Six hundred critical infrastructure organizations had years of free scanner coverage and Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog entries for every one of these flaws, and still never got the window to apply them.

“The advisory’s own details show attackers know exactly which systems nobody wants to touch. Two of the five vulnerabilities target Veeam Backup & Replication, and SafePay pairs them with halting the Volume Shadow Copy Service and resetting network-attached storage to factory settings. A firewall reboot might break the plant floor. A backup server restart might void the recovery plan. So the boxes stay running for years on software with public exploit code, because an outage has a name attached to it and an unpatched vulnerability does not.

“That is a scheduling failure, and CISA’s mitigation list treats it as a homework assignment. Until critical infrastructure operators get a funded maintenance window and someone senior who owns the reboot decision, the next SafePay is already inside the perimeter everyone was too afraid to bounce.”

ㅤ

John Strand, Owner, Black Hills Information Security:

“This particular attack is interesting for two pretty mundane reasons. First, they’re going after municipalities and critical infrastructure because, as we keep finding out, these organizations will pay. Look at how many people are affected when services go down. Add the political pressure to get those services restored, and attackers see a good chance of getting paid.

“Second, these are motherhood and apple pie exploitation techniques. We’re talking about advanced AI and exploits being developed incredibly quickly, while a huge number of organizations are still getting hit because of weak passwords and a lack of multifactor authentication.

“That’s what scares me more than the super elite hacks. It’s the standard stuff we still haven’t gotten under control as an industry.”

ㅤ

Josh Marpet, Senior Product Security Consultant, Finite State:

“It should come as no surprise that ransomware is a problem. After all thousands and tens of thousands of organizations have fallen victim to social engineering attacks, technical attacks, and business logic attacks. Wherever these ransomware groups can gain a foothold, they will use it to steal your current data, destroy your backups, and encrypt everything they can get their hot little hands on.

“And at the same time cyber insurance costs, if you include ransomware, are still incredibly high.

“So this group is using exploits that have been around since 2020. Let’s be clear on this, these are some six year old exploits. Oh wait, I’m sorry some of them are from 2024 only two years old.

“What happened to keeping on top of patching? Well, we have so much more software than we ever had before. How do we keep track of it all?

“We engage specialists. Software is built out of Legos. Libraries and functions. If we have a software bill of materials (SBOM), we can easily keep track of what’s there at what version, and if there’s any updates.

“Then updating it just becomes a matter of going down the list. But if you don’t have a software bill of materials, it’s much harder to keep track of a chaotic ever fluid morass.

“It’s 10pm, do you know what software you’re running?”

The fact is that everything needs be on the table. If it’s not, it will get pwned. It is that simple.

DHS officials asked CISA to secretly hack voting machine

Posted in Commentary with tags on October 21, 2026 by itnerd

Political appointees at the Department of Homeland Security asked CISA to secretly acquire and hack a voting machine, according to a new ProPublica investigation. The findings were intended for the White House, and CISA staff were reportedly instructed not to notify the manufacturer of any vulnerabilities discovered.

Citing two former administration officials, ProPublica reported that CISA employees resisted the request, which was ultimately abandoned.

State election officials reported losing federal cybersecurity assistance, including threat intelligence, vulnerability assessments and network monitoring support, ahead of the November midterms.

CISA released its 2026 election security plan on September 24, although several officials said it arrived too late for much of their election preparation. The White House defended its election security record.

Darin Fredde, Sr. Director of Technical Marketing Engineering, Ridge Security:

“From an offensive security perspective, examining voting machines for vulnerabilities is not inherently unusual. Independent security testing is an important part of protecting critical infrastructure. The concern raised by this reporting is not the testing itself, but the reported lack of transparency and the instruction to withhold potential findings from the manufacturer.

“There is a fundamental difference between discovering a vulnerability and reducing the risk it represents. Even when technical evidence is overwhelming, economic tradeoffs, operational pressures, and institutional biases can influence how organizations interpret findings and prioritize remediation. Those realities do not disappear simply because the evidence is compelling.

“One way to navigate these challenges is through a complete security lifecycle: discover the weakness, validate it with evidence, assess its impact, remediate it, and independently verify that the fix works. I often think of this as moving beyond finding vulnerabilities to finding proof and fixing the underlying risk.

“The broader concern is the reported reduction in information sharing and security coordination. Election security depends on more than voting machines. It requires continuous assessment, threat intelligence, monitoring, and cooperation across multiple organizations. Cybersecurity is not simply about proving something can be hacked. Given enough time and resources, that is often the easy part. The real challenge is ensuring that evidence leads to informed decisions, measurable improvements, and demonstrable risk reduction. Otherwise, we’re just getting better at documenting problems we haven’t solved.”

ㅤ

John Strand, Owner, Black Hills Information Security:

“Government agencies identifying vulnerabilities and conducting vulnerability research is fairly normal. That happens. What makes this strange is that, apparently, there was a specific request from the White House.

“I don’t know what the context was or why that request was made, but it does look weird. A White House request for this particular research is unusual enough to raise questions.

“This is one of those stories we need to watch as more information comes out. Government vulnerability research itself isn’t surprising. The circumstances around this request are definitely peculiar. Curiouser and curiouser.”

ㅤ

Josh Marpet, Senior Product Security Consultant, Finite State:

“Security Testing of voting machines is an important aspect of the security around the entire election process. Done properly, it’s openly reported on, in collaboration with the manufacturer, in order to improve the security of the voting process.

“As the minority inspector of voting for my district, I am intimately acquainted with the security around the voting machines. I remain incredibly impressed with how well the process protects against any irregularities. Dual control of the electronic record, the paper tabulator record, and the actual paper ballots themselves, is maintained all the way through the process. Every document is cross-referenced to other documents with unique id’s, at all times. In order to taint that process, you’d either have to falsify an identity, which gains you at most, 1 vote, or subvert multiple people in the voting process, which, since there are people from all parties working together, and poll inspectors watching at most to all times, nearly impossible to perform. When it gets up to the county collection point, it’s out of my hands, but others with my background have studied it at that point, such as my friends, Harri Hursti or Matt Blaze. They have explained it with terms similar to mine. Dual control, oversight, and paper records retained for forensic accounting of votes.ㅤ

“Kudos to the CISA employees who resisted the request.”

ㅤ

Jeremiah Fowler, Researcher, Black Hills Information Security:

“There are few things more decisive than politics, elections, and the security of voting machines. If researchers or government agencies were to discover a vulnerability and intentionally withhold that information from the manufacturer or election officials, the potential security risks would remain unresolved and leave those machines vulnerable. Election security should be focused on protecting the integrity of the voting process, regardless of political party. Federal cybersecurity assistance is vital as not all states and localities have the same budgets or resources to protect their election systems. Any disruptions to threat intelligence sharing, vulnerability assessments, and network monitoring are deeply concerning. Unfortunately, we usually do not realize the value of investing in cybersecurity until after a critical incident.

“Simply hacking a voting machine is not as easy as it sounds and many voting systems are designed to operate offline. The real potential risk in my view is in the broader election infrastructure that could include interconnected devices, election management systems, and reporting hardware that could have internet access. In the 2020 election independent election security researchers identified more than 35 voting systems connected to the internet across 11 states and Washington, D.C. The investigation also reported that a main supplier of voting equipment and election-management technology acknowledged that approximately 14,000 voting tabulators were equipped with online modems and had been in use nationwide. It was proof that some election equipment had network connectivity despite assurances to the public that voting systems were disconnected from the internet. All we can do is hope those systems have been updated or replaced.”

Kudos to the CISA for rejecting this request. But having said that, I have so many problems with the fact that someone wanted an election machine hacked is a huge problem. This really should ring alarm bells about the status of democracy in America.

Ransomware groups exploit Palo Alto Networks firewall

Posted in Commentary with tags on October 21, 2026 by itnerd

Multiple ransomware groups have been exploiting a vulnerability in Palo Alto Networks’ PAN-OS firewall software since June, according to an updated Unit 42 threat report. The authentication bypass flaw, CVE-2026-0257, allows attackers to establish unauthorized VPN connections and bypass multifactor authentication.

Unit 42 identified Qilin and INC ransomware operators exploiting the vulnerability, with additional reports linking Settra ransomware to the attacks. Investigations span healthcare, financial services, manufacturing, government, energy and other industries.

Once inside corporate networks, attackers have moved laterally, harvested credentials and deployed ransomware. In one case, attackers accessed VMware vCenter, disabled ESXi security controls and extracted domain credentials directly from a virtual disk, bypassing endpoint security tools.

Palo Alto Networks patched the vulnerability in May and recommends that organizations update affected systems and investigate potential compromises.

Jacob Krell, Senior Director: Secure AI Solutions & Cybersecurity, Suzu Labs:

“Security appliances are now one of the most consistently exploited category of enterprise technology, and the Qilin and INC ransomware crews working a Palo Alto Networks PAN-OS authentication bypass since June is the pattern repeating, not an anomaly. The devices organizations buy to defend the perimeter have become the most productive way through it. When I analyzed CISA’s Known Exploited Vulnerabilities (KEV) catalog in July, security and network infrastructure vendors accounted for over a quarter of actively exploited entries in the first half of 2026, with 75 entries flagged as ransomware entry points and Palo Alto Networks holding 6 of them. An appliance is internet-facing by design, holds elevated network trust, and runs closed software no endpoint agent watches, so the compromise is invisible to the security stack because the compromised device is the security stack. That is how attackers reached vCenter, disabled ESXi controls, and pulled domain credentials without tripping a single tool. Treat the firewall as an adversary-accessible endpoint, and segment so a compromised gateway cannot reach everything behind it.”

ㅤ

Darin Fredde, Sr. Director of Technical Marketing Engineering, Ridge Security:

“It’s never good to see this happen to anyone, especially a respected industry leader like Palo Alto Networks. But this incident highlights a much broader challenge facing our industry. In the post-Mythos era of AI-accelerated vulnerability discovery, we no longer have the luxury of relying on point-in-time security assessments. We must accelerate proactive offensive testing and, equally important, remediation and independent verification to keep pace with evolving threats. This doesn’t eliminate the need for experienced security professionals. Quite the opposite. It amplifies their importance while demanding better tools and automation to operate at scale. The attackers’ reported movement from VPN access into virtualization infrastructure also reminds us that security must be validated across the entire architecture, not just individual controls. Ultimately, discovering vulnerabilities faster means little if we cannot fix them just as effectively. Otherwise, we’re simply getting better at finding problems we haven’t solved.”

Besides patching all the things, this is not good as a lot of people depend on Palo Alto firewalls. Thus this is a today problem.

Equinix Opens Innovation Centers Globally to Accelerate Enterprise Infrastructure Deployments

Posted in Commentary with tags on October 21, 2026 by itnerd

Equinix, Inc. today introduced the Equinix Enhanced Performance Innovation Centers (EPIC), a global network of production-ready liquid cooling environments. The centers enable enterprises to test, build and deploy high-density AI infrastructure with the confidence and support of Equinix experts and leading technology partners. EPIC is live in Frankfurt, London, Osaka, Paris and Sydney, with more locations expected to open in 2027.

As AI moves from experimentation to production, how infrastructure is cooled, powered and connected has become a strategic imperative that determines deployment speed, cost and performance. Increasingly powerful GPU platforms are driving higher rack densities and greater demand for liquid cooling.  Few enterprises have the expertise to get cooling, power, networking and facility operations working together, and a gap in any one can stall a deployment. The result is a growing pressure to bring AI infrastructure readiness in line with the pace of adoption.

EPIC helps address that challenge by giving enterprises a place to prove it out. Inside live Equinix data centers, enterprises can trial the latest liquid-cooled GPU and CPU platforms with leading hardware partners and test AI training and inference workloads under real-world conditions.  With Equinix experts alongside, they can identify infrastructure and operational issues before production and make informed decisions as they scale. The result is a faster, lower-risk path from proof of concept to production.

EPIC can help enterprise teams:

  • Work with leading technology partners: Work with Equinix and our ecosystem of technology partners and original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to assess combined liquid cooling stacks under field conditions. See how the systems integrate to help get to deployment faster.
  • Get hands-on infrastructure experience: See liquid cooling technologies in action, understand how each fits into specific environments and address operational questions that matter before deployments.
  • Test their infrastructure where it will run: Each EPIC location operates inside a live Equinix data center, giving customers exposure to liquid cooling under real production conditions.

EPIC builds on Equinix’s existing innovation spaces. In 2022 Equinix announced its first Co-Innovation Facility where partners could collaborate on testing new technology before it entered Equinix data centers. In 2024, Equinix rolled out Solution Validation Centers for customers to validate deployments and see how Equinix supports distributed environments. EPIC brings that same experiential approach to liquid cooling and high-density AI deployments.

Enterprises interested in visiting an EPIC site can contact their Equinix account team or visit the EPIC program page here.

Samsung Canada Opens Applications for Galaxy Campus Crew, a New National Program for Post-Secondary Students

Posted in Commentary with tags on October 21, 2026 by itnerd

Samsung Canada today announced Galaxy Campus Crew, a new national community where post-secondary students can explore the latest technology and share how it elevates the university or college experience. Samsung is inviting students across Canada to apply for one of the inaugural spots in the program.

From studying and creating to connecting with friends and getting things done, Galaxy Campus Crew members will put the latest Galaxy technology to use across university and college life. Their firsthand experiences will offer Samsung valuable insight into the tools and features that matter most to today’s students.

As part of the program, each member will receive a Galaxy welcome kit featuring the latest Galaxy products. Throughout the program, Crew members will take part in activities designed to put Galaxy technology into action, with opportunities to unlock rewards along the way.

The program launches at a moment when AI is changing the university and college experience and reshaping how students prepare for their careers. Galaxy Campus Crew gives students the opportunity to use Galaxy devices as a tool to conquer school and their everyday lives.

Samsung is looking for Canadian post-secondary students who are curious, creative and ready to bring their perspective to the Crew. The program welcomes students discovering Galaxy for the first time as well as existing users who want to go deeper and help others explore what the Galaxy ecosystem can offer.

Students new to Galaxy can also explore the Try Galaxy experience from their current smartphone to get a taste of the Galaxy ecosystem. When they’re ready to make the move, Smart Switch [1]helps bring photos, messages, apps, settings and more to their new Galaxy device.

Applications are now open and close November 2, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET. Students can learn more and apply at www.samsung.com/ca/galaxycampuscrew.

Abstract ASTRO Research Team issues blog on PHP2Shell and the Critical PHP RCE Vulnerabilities CVE-2026-109618 and CVE-2026-109619

Posted in Commentary with tags on October 21, 2026 by itnerd

The Abstract ASTRO team issued this blog post re: PHP2Shell and the Critical PHP RCE Vulnerabilities CVE-2026-109618 and CVE-2026-109619. ASTRO’s post focuses on what is confirmed, what organizations can do before the patch lands, and the detections they can put in place. The post will be updated as more information becomes available and can be disclosed.

You can read the deails here: https://www.abstract.security/blog/php2shell-critical-php-rce-vulnerabilities-cve-2026-109618-and-cve-2026-109619

Google Trends isn’t as consistent as it looks

Posted in Commentary with tags on October 21, 2026 by itnerd

The Express VPN team ran 102 terms from Google’s Year in Search through Trends and compared the scores across locations and timeframes. A few things stood out:

  • The same term failed to return identical results across countries 60% of the time, even with the region filter set to one country.
  • With the filter locked to Japan and only the searcher’s location changing (via VPN), exact matches fell to 30.5%.
  • The U.S. was the least consistent market we tested, with results agreeing only about half the time. Japan and India matched almost every time.
  • Globally famous people, events, and places were the most reliable. Niche searches were the most volatile, and changing the timeframe (7-day, 90-day, 12-month) also shifted the patterns.

Full findings are here: https://www.expressvpn.com/research/how-google-trends-results-vary-across-ip-addresses

PHP2Shell – Attackers are mapping vulnerable servers before fixes arrive

Posted in Commentary with tags on October 21, 2026 by itnerd

PHP2Shell puts organizations in a race to find vulnerable servers before attackers do. The flaws became public before fixes were available, and attackers can now turn security patches into working exploits in under an hour. The biggest concern is older systems that organizations may not even know they’re running: Only PHP 8.2 and newer are receiving patches, while W3Techs data suggests roughly half of PHP websites run older versions.

Commentary from the Detectify Security Research team:

“Many organizations will learn about a forgotten PHP server when an attacker finds it. That’s the risk with this one: the flaws became public before the fix did, so both sides are starting at the same time. Attackers aren’t waiting for a working exploit. They’re building a list of every server on the internet that says it runs PHP, sorted by version, and the moment the fix is out, they will compare the old code with the new one to find the flaw.

“The playbook used to be: patch comes out, attackers reverse-engineer it over a few days, defenders have a window. That window is closing. Recent research has shown AI models turning a security patch into a working exploit in under an hour, for a few thousand dollars in computing costs. PHP2Shell is landing in that world, and some researchers expect mass exploitation within minutes of the release.

“The oldest versions matter most because they won’t be fixed. Only PHP 8.2 and newer are getting patches, and based on W3Techs data, roughly half of all PHP websites are running something older. That’s the real exposure. Those sites haven’t been updated in years, which usually means nobody is watching them either.

“So the question this week is this: do you know where all your PHP is running? If yes, this is an afternoon of updates. If no, the risk is in the systems you’ve forgotten: an old marketing site, a hosting control panel, a device with PHP built in. And speed matters more than ever.

“Our own Cyber Hygiene Index found that nine in ten open critical and high-severity vulnerabilities stay exposed for more than 90 days. Against an exploit that can be built in an hour, that gap is the whole story. Find your forgotten systems before someone else does, and then check nobody got there first.”

I should also mention that Detectify, a Swedish application security company specializing in internet-facing vulnerabilities, found in its Cyber Hygiene Index that nine in ten open critical and high-severity vulnerabilities remain exposed for more than 90 days. You may want to have a look at that.

Guest Post: Ransomware attacks surge 50% year-over-year as The Gentlemen and Qilin amplify attacks

Posted in Commentary with tags on October 21, 2026 by itnerd

The latest ransomware report reveals that attacks have reached an all-time high, signaling a shift from a volatile, unstable landscape to a booming market where new players regularly emerge — it’s a golden age for attackers.

● 2,894 ransomware incidents were recorded from July to September 2026, up 50% from Q3 2025 and 8.6% from Q2 2026.

● The Gentlemen and Qilin have both ramped up their activity sharply, reaching 383 and 363 attacks respectively.

● Our expert issues a warning for the last months of 2026: In Q4 2025, ransomware actors ramped up attacks, exploiting end-of-year vulnerabilities, and are likely to take advantage of seasonal weaknesses this year as well.

The latest findings from NordLayer Intelligence by NordStellar, a threat exposure management platform, reveal that ransomware attacks reached record highs in Q3 2026. Experts warn these findings show the ransomware market has moved past  its volatile, rebuilding phase and became a thriving landscape that now enables attacks at unprecedented scale.

According to findings from NordLayer Intelligence, 2,894 ransomware incidents were recorded from  July to September 2026. The number reflects a 50% year-over-year increase from the 1,933 attacks recorded in Q3 2025 and a 8.6% increase in attacks from Q2 2026 (2,664 incidents). The latest Q3 2026 attack numbers mark an all-time high for ransomware across NordLayer Intelligence’s monitoring, which dates back to 2020.

“A year ago, the ransomware ecosystem was still rebuilding after LockBit’s takedown, and the shutdowns of BlackCat and RansomHub left affiliates without a home,” says Vakaris Noreika, cybersecurity expert at NordLayer Intelligence. “Now, the market is stabilizing, and the numbers we see today are merely the first stepping stone in ransomware’s new era. The market has found its footing — going forward, it’s likely that even more new players will emerge, and attack numbers will continue to climb.”

The Gentlemen and Qilin amplify attacks

A thriving market has allowed ransomware groups to grow and new threat actors to emerge, fueling competition. Findings from NordLayer Intelligence show that two groups alone accounted for 746 attacks this quarter: The Gentlemen with 383 and Qilin with 363.

“The rivalry between The Gentlemen and Qilin plays out like a 1980s soap opera,” explains Mantas Sabeckis, cybersecurity expert at Nord Security, a global cybersecurity powerhouse. “Based on underground forum activity we observed, The Gentlemen’s founder appears to have previously run one of Qilin’s top affiliate crews before a dispute over an unpaid cut, which he took to an underground forum and lost. His answer was to start a new group and lure his former colleagues away with a 90% payout, well above the usual 70% to 80%. This quarter, the breakaway The Gentlemen group edged past Qilin by 20 attacks.”

Sabeckis notes that beyond the fight for dominance, evolving techniques are another driver of rising attack numbers. He explains that some extortion groups are skipping encryption entirely to save time.

“Stealing data is faster and simpler, so one group can hit many victims at once with far less effort,” says Sabeckis. “This shift is likely a big part of why attack volumes keep climbing. But that doesn’t mean encryption is going away. Some groups still lock files and nothing else, others combine encryption with data extortion, and a growing number, like Cl0p, skip encryption entirely, betting that the threat of a leak is enough to force the target of the attack to pay the ransom.”

A warning for the end of the year

According to data analyzed by NordLayer Intelligence, small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) with up to 200 employees and under $25 million in revenue, operating in the manufacturing sector, remain the most targeted by ransomware attacks — a trend expected to hold through year-end as well.

“Attackers follow the money, so the strongest economies remain the biggest targets. North America accounted for almost half of all attacks we could locate, and Europe for more than a quarter, which means nearly three in four attacks hit those two regions alone,” says Sabeckis.

Noreika urges companies to stay on high alert for the remaining months of 2026. Last year, ransomware attacks peaked in Q4 as threat actors exploited end-of-year vulnerabilities and holiday staff shortages — the same seasonal weaknesses they are likely to exploit this year.

“There’s no single ransomware model to defend against anymore,” says Noreika. “INC Ransom has stayed in the top five groups all year by concentrating its attacks, hitting a run of law firms in quick succession. Akira relies on speed instead, exploiting exposed VPN credentials and weak multi-factor authentication to encrypt data within hours, a method it has used against small firms for over a year. Each approach needs a different defense, which is a heavy load for small businesses that often don’t have a dedicated security team.”

Still, Noreika notes that while attack methods are multiplying, the doors attackers use have barely changed. “The names on the most prolific ransomware group list regularly change, but the way they get in doesn’t,” he says. “Stolen logins protected by weak multi-factor authentication keep working, and known vulnerabilities in widely used enterprise products remain one of the most common entry points. What happens once attackers are inside may be shifting, but closing those familiar openings still removes a large share of the risk.”

Methodology

NordLayer Intelligence continuously monitors over 200 blogs run by ransomware groups, with incidents observed as early as 2020. Analyzing the listings published by attackers, NordLayer Intelligence discovered 2,894 ransomware attacks from July to September 2026. The full methodology can be found in the report, located here: https://nordlayer.com/intelligence/ransomware-statistics/.

ABOUT NORDLAYER INTELLIGENCE

NordLayer Intelligence by NordStellar is a next-generation threat exposure management platform that helps companies to detect and respond to cyber threats before they escalate. NordLayer Intelligence offers visibility into how threat actors work and what they do with compromised data. NordLayer Intelligence was created by Nord Security, a global cybersecurity powerhouse behind one of the world’s most popular digital privacy tools, NordVPN. For more information, visit nordlayer.com/intelligence/.